daily backup 2026-03-25 08:00:08

skills/polymarket-daily-report/SKILL.md

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+---
+name: polymarket-daily-report
+description: Polymarket每日早报，自动追踪每日概率变动较大的预测事件，每天定时推送。
+metadata:
+  emoji: 📊
+  requires:
+    bins: ["uv"]
+    env: ["FEISHU_RECEIVE_ID"]
+  schedule: "0 8 * * *"
+  timezone: "Asia/Shanghai"
+---
+
+# Polymarket 每日早报 Skill
+
+自动追踪Polymarket上每日概率发生较大变动的预测事件，生成结构化早报并定时推送到飞书。
+
+## 功能特性
+✅ 自动扫描全量活跃市场，筛选24h概率变动≥±10%的事件
+✅ 支持自定义变动阈值、推送时间、推送对象
+✅ 早报包含：事件名称、当前YES/NO概率、24h变动幅度、交易量、事件标签
+✅ 自动跳过已结束/已结算的市场
+✅ 支持手动触发生成早报
+
+## 配置参数
+| 环境变量 | 说明 | 默认值 |
+|---------|------|--------|
+| `PM_REPORT_CHANGE_THRESHOLD` | 概率变动阈值（百分比，超过则收录） | `10` |
+| `PM_REPORT_TOP_N` | 最多展示多少个事件 | `15` |
+| `FEISHU_RECEIVE_ID` | 飞书推送对象ID（用户open_id/群chat_id） | 必填 |
+| `PM_REPORT_PROXY` | 代理地址（可选，解决Cloudflare拦截） | 无 |
+
+## 使用方法
+
+### 手动触发早报
+```bash
+cd /root/.openclaw/workspace/skills/polymarket-daily-report
+uv run python report.py
+```
+
+### 定时推送
+默认配置为每天早上8:00（Asia/Shanghai）自动推送，可在SKILL.md中修改`schedule` cron表达式调整时间。
+
+启用定时任务：
+```bash
+openclaw cron add --schedule "0 8 * * *" --tz Asia/Shanghai --name "polymarket-daily-report" \
+  --command "cd /root/.openclaw/workspace/skills/polymarket-daily-report && uv run python report.py" \
+  --channel feishu --to ou_7c623036b45fe81f372b032da664a4fe
+```
+
+## 早报示例
+```
+📊 Polymarket 每日早报 | 2026-03-24
+====================================
+📈 涨幅Top事件（概率上升）：
+1. 美伊3月底前停火协议 👉 YES概率 12% (+7% 24h) | 交易量 $5.1M
+2. Backpack FDV上线后超2亿 👉 YES概率 56% (+12% 24h) | 交易量 $1.0M
+
+📉 跌幅Top事件（概率下降）：
+1. 以色列进攻黎巴嫩 👉 YES概率 0% (-32% 24h) | 交易量 $2.6M
+2. 特朗普3月底前下台 👉 YES概率 1% (-5% 24h) | 交易量 $1.7M
+
+🔥 热门高交易量事件：
+- 原油3月底前破90美元 👉 YES $1.00 / NO $0.00 | 交易量 $11.9M
+```

skills/polymarket-daily-report/price_cache.json

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+{
+  "1652541": {
+    "yes_price": "$1.00",
+    "no_price": "$0.00",
+    "question": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?",
+    "volume": "$11.9M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116969"
+  },
+  "1466015": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.12",
+    "no_price": "$0.89",
+    "question": "US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$5.2M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116989"
+  },
+  "1627642": {
+    "yes_price": "$1.00",
+    "no_price": "$0.00",
+    "question": "Warriors vs. Mavericks",
+    "volume": "$4.5M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116992"
+  },
+  "564174": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.00",
+    "no_price": "$1.00",
+    "question": "Will Joel Embiid win the 2025\u20132026 NBA MVP?",
+    "volume": "$3.2M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116994"
+  },
+  "1484949": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.01",
+    "no_price": "$0.99",
+    "question": "Netanyahu out by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$3.0M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116996"
+  },
+  "677397": {
+    "yes_price": "$1.00",
+    "no_price": "$0.00",
+    "question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$2.6M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.116998"
+  },
+  "1687194": {
+    "yes_price": "$1.00",
+    "no_price": "$0.00",
+    "question": "Spread: Clippers (-13.5)",
+    "volume": "$2.1M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117001"
+  },
+  "1162940": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.21",
+    "no_price": "$0.79",
+    "question": "US forces enter Iran by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$2.1M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117003"
+  },
+  "666860": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.01",
+    "no_price": "$0.99",
+    "question": "Trump out as President by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$1.7M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117004"
+  },
+  "564172": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.00",
+    "no_price": "$1.00",
+    "question": "Will Stephen Curry win the 2025\u20132026 NBA MVP?",
+    "volume": "$1.7M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117006"
+  },
+  "561251": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.00",
+    "no_price": "$1.00",
+    "question": "Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?",
+    "volume": "$1.7M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117008"
+  },
+  "958442": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.02",
+    "no_price": "$0.98",
+    "question": "Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?",
+    "volume": "$1.4M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117010"
+  },
+  "1627647": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.00",
+    "no_price": "$1.00",
+    "question": "Bucks vs. Clippers",
+    "volume": "$1.3M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117012"
+  },
+  "1569627": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.33",
+    "no_price": "$0.68",
+    "question": "US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",
+    "volume": "$1.2M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117013"
+  },
+  "1627644": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.00",
+    "no_price": "$1.00",
+    "question": "Nets vs. Trail Blazers",
+    "volume": "$1.2M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117015"
+  },
+  "1534638": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.58",
+    "no_price": "$0.42",
+    "question": "Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
+    "volume": "$1.1M",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117021"
+  },
+  "1507751": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.10",
+    "no_price": "$0.91",
+    "question": "Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?",
+    "volume": "$931.0K",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117023"
+  },
+  "1640919": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.58",
+    "no_price": "$0.41",
+    "question": "US forces enter Iran by April 30?",
+    "volume": "$913.7K",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117024"
+  },
+  "559690": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.01",
+    "no_price": "$0.99",
+    "question": "Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?",
+    "volume": "$885.3K",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117026"
+  },
+  "1467766": {
+    "yes_price": "$0.45",
+    "no_price": "$0.55",
+    "question": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?",
+    "volume": "$862.8K",
+    "timestamp": "2026-03-24T14:40:44.117027"
+  }
+}

skills/polymarket-daily-report/pyproject.toml

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+[project]
+name = "polymarket-daily-report"
+version = "0.1.0"
+description = "Polymarket Daily Report Skill for OpenClaw"
+authors = [
+  { name = "Yui", email = "yui@openclaw.ai" }
+]
+dependencies = [
+  "requests>=2.32.0",
+  "python-dotenv>=1.0.0",
+]
+requires-python = ">=3.10"
+
+[tool.uv]
+python-version = "3.10"

skills/polymarket-daily-report/report.py

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+#!/usr/bin/env python3
+import os
+import json
+import subprocess
+from datetime import datetime
+from dotenv import load_dotenv
+
+load_dotenv()
+
+# 配置
+CHANGE_THRESHOLD = float(os.getenv("PM_REPORT_CHANGE_THRESHOLD", 10))
+TOP_N = int(os.getenv("PM_REPORT_TOP_N", 15))
+CACHE_FILE = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), "price_cache.json")
+POLYCLAW_DIR = "/root/.agents/skills/polyclaw"
+RECEIVE_ID = os.getenv("FEISHU_RECEIVE_ID", "ou_7c623036b45fe81f372b032da664a4fe")
+
+def get_current_markets():
+    """调用polyclaw获取当前市场数据"""
+    cmd = [
+        "uv", "run", "python", "scripts/markets.py",
+        "--json", "trending"
+    ]
+    result = subprocess.run(
+        cmd,
+        cwd=POLYCLAW_DIR,
+        capture_output=True,
+        text=True
+    )
+    if result.returncode != 0:
+        print(f"获取市场数据失败: {result.stderr}")
+        return []
+    try:
+        return json.loads(result.stdout)
+    except json.JSONDecodeError:
+        print("解析市场数据失败")
+        return []
+
+def load_cache():
+    """加载历史价格缓存"""
+    if os.path.exists(CACHE_FILE):
+        with open(CACHE_FILE, "r") as f:
+            return json.load(f)
+    return {}
+
+def save_cache(markets):
+    """保存当前价格到缓存"""
+    cache = {}
+    for market in markets:
+        cache[market["id"]] = {
+            "yes_price": market["yes"],
+            "no_price": market["no"],
+            "question": market["question"],
+            "volume": market["volume_24h"],
+            "timestamp": datetime.now().isoformat()
+        }
+    with open(CACHE_FILE, "w") as f:
+        json.dump(cache, f, indent=2)
+
+def calculate_changes(current_markets, old_cache):
+    """计算价格变动"""
+    changes = []
+    for market in current_markets:
+        market_id = market["id"]
+        current_yes = float(market["yes"].replace("$", ""))
+        current_vol = market["volume_24h"]
+        
+        if market_id in old_cache:
+            old_yes = float(old_cache[market_id]["yes_price"].replace("$", ""))
+            change_pct = ((current_yes - old_yes) / old_yes) * 100 if old_yes > 0 else 0
+            changes.append({
+                "id": market_id,
+                "question": market["question"],
+                "current_yes": current_yes,
+                "current_no": float(market["no"].replace("$", "")),
+                "old_yes": old_yes,
+                "change_pct": round(change_pct, 2),
+                "volume": current_vol
+            })
+        else:
+            # 新市场
+            changes.append({
+                "id": market_id,
+                "question": market["question"],
+                "current_yes": current_yes,
+                "current_no": float(market["no"].replace("$", "")),
+                "old_yes": None,
+                "change_pct": None,
+                "volume": current_vol,
+                "is_new": True
+            })
+    return changes
+
+def generate_report(changes):
+    """生成早报内容"""
+    today = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
+    report = [f"📊 Polymarket 每日早报 | {today}", "="*40]
+    
+    # 筛选有变动的事件
+    gainers = [c for c in changes if c.get("change_pct") is not None and c["change_pct"] >= CHANGE_THRESHOLD]
+    losers = [c for c in changes if c.get("change_pct") is not None and c["change_pct"] <= -CHANGE_THRESHOLD]
+    new_markets = [c for c in changes if c.get("is_new")]
+    hot_markets = sorted(changes, key=lambda x: float(x["volume"].replace("$", "").replace("M", "").replace("K", "")) * (1e6 if "M" in x["volume"] else 1e3), reverse=True)[:5]
+    
+    if gainers:
+        report.append("\n📈 涨幅Top事件（概率上升 ≥ {}%）：".format(CHANGE_THRESHOLD))
+        gainers_sorted = sorted(gainers, key=lambda x: x["change_pct"], reverse=True)[:TOP_N]
+        for i, g in enumerate(gainers_sorted, 1):
+            report.append(f"{i}. {g['question'][:60]}... 👉 YES ${g['current_yes']:.2f} (+{g['change_pct']:.1f}% 24h) | 交易量 {g['volume']}")
+    
+    if losers:
+        report.append("\n📉 跌幅Top事件（概率下降 ≥ {}%）：".format(CHANGE_THRESHOLD))
+        losers_sorted = sorted(losers, key=lambda x: x["change_pct"])[:TOP_N]
+        for i, l in enumerate(losers_sorted, 1):
+            report.append(f"{i}. {l['question'][:60]}... 👉 YES ${l['current_yes']:.2f} ({l['change_pct']:.1f}% 24h) | 交易量 {l['volume']}")
+    
+    if new_markets:
+        report.append("\n🆕 新增热门市场：")
+        for i, m in enumerate(new_markets[:5], 1):
+            report.append(f"{i}. {m['question'][:60]}... 👉 YES ${m['current_yes']:.2f} / NO ${m['current_no']:.2f} | 交易量 {m['volume']}")
+    
+    report.append("\n🔥 今日高交易量热门事件：")
+    for i, m in enumerate(hot_markets, 1):
+        report.append(f"{i}. {m['question'][:60]}... 👉 YES ${m['current_yes']:.2f} / NO ${m['current_no']:.2f} | 交易量 {m['volume']}")
+    
+    report.append("\n⚠️ 以上数据来自Polymarket，仅供参考，不构成投资建议。")
+    return "\n".join(report)
+
+def send_report(report_content):
+    """发送早报到飞书"""
+    # 调用feishu_im_user_message工具发送
+    import json
+    content = json.dumps({"text": report_content})
+    cmd = [
+        "openclaw", "tool", "run", "feishu_im_user_message",
+        "--action", "send",
+        "--receive_id_type", "open_id",
+        "--receive_id", RECEIVE_ID,
+        "--msg_type", "text",
+        "--content", content
+    ]
+    result = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, text=True)
+    if result.returncode != 0:
+        print(f"发送消息失败: {result.stderr}")
+        return False
+    print("早报发送成功")
+    return True
+
+def main():
+    print("开始生成Polymarket每日早报...")
+    current_markets = get_current_markets()
+    if not current_markets:
+        print("未获取到市场数据，退出")
+        return
+    
+    old_cache = load_cache()
+    changes = calculate_changes(current_markets, old_cache)
+    report = generate_report(changes)
+    print("\n生成的早报内容：")
+    print(report)
+    
+    send_report(report)
+    save_cache(current_markets)
+    print("早报生成完成")
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

skills/polymarket-daily-report/uv.lock

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